Misfortune of monsoon did not give any relief in last two
years of the NDA Govt. It did not only paralyse the agricultural sector but the
people at large in many parts of the country have been struggling hard for
scarce potable water to keep themselves alive. As a result, a huge amount had
to be diverted for disaster management, hampering the overall economic growth.
The affected lot hardly knows the scientific reason of this natural calamity
and lay the blame at govt’s door. After reading some authentic weather
forecasts, now I can assure the suffering lot that the coming monsoon will be
really wet and ‘achchhe din’ will shower.
Seeing some data regarding percentage of rainfall since last
June, it is evident that it has been deficient every month. The lifeline of
ndian agriculture, the monsoon plays truant due to oceanic wind conditions,
often known as EL Nino, LA Nina etc. Both of them are major factors for rain or
drought in the land mass of Indian sub-continent. When the EL Nino is strong,
it suddenly increasres the temperature of the equatorial Pacific ocean surface
which obviates the chances of wet cloud formation. The abnormal heat evaporates
them into the sky. This monsoon hide and seek in last two years has been
keeping Indians in several regions thirsty. This fatal thirst is due to end
within three weeks.
As against the EL Nino effect, there is yet another but
opposite wind condition in the same area of the Pacific ocean known as LA Nina.
When it is prevalent, it creates a cooling atmosphere which helps the clouds to
be pregnant with watery contents and rain. The forecast says that by now, the
AL Nino has started being down the hill and by April end it will give way to
the matching opposite LA Nina conditions. The weathermen say tha this welcome
scenario will be in full swing by Aug.2016 when almost all parts of thirsty
India will take a sigh of relief. We know that despite many other auxiliary
measures to augment water supply, the monsoon rain is our mainstay.
In this backdrop, we may expect adequate rainfall, though
with some tolerable delay. No ‘yagya’, no ‘ashtyam kirtan’ just sing “Hey
monsoon, come soon”.